Tuesday, April 22, 2008

A new Huckabee?


The Pennsylvania primary today could be the deciding factor for whether or not Hillary Clinton will stay in the race. This is the biggest primary left before the Democratic convention, and Clinton will have to have a big win in order to have a good reason to continue campaigning. Based on Obama’s current lead in delegates and in the popular vote, she will have to win by a strong margin in order to close the gap. Most polls show her currently leading by anywhere from 7 to 9 percentage points over Obama. The question is: Will that provide enough of a win to justify her staying in the race?

It is looking like she will still be dragging behind by tomorrow, and it appears less and less likely that she will be able to catch up. It seems possible that we may have another Huckabee situation. It is doubtful that she will just give up, and I could see her hanging in there waiting on a miracle against all mathematical probability. If this happens she could really hurt the Democratic Party in the long run. But, as we’ve seen throughout this race, it is often hard to predict what will happen next.

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